Racing Tips – Thursday Best Bets for Stawell and Pakenham

Pakenham - Expert Horse Racing Tips

Ground should be good at Stawell and just into the soft range at Pakenham.

Best Bet

9. Tempestarii
Pakenham R3 6:15pm

Tempestarii has been terrific in both runs this time in. First up at Mornington she went to the line under a hold after being held up for clear running, then last time at Sale she ran the talented Sigourney to three quarters of a length at Sale. The odds on favourite in early markets, Applejax, looks well under the odds and I expect him to drift significantly.

Recommended Price: $3.50
Confidence Level: 4.5/5

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2. Eaton
Stawell R5 3:00pm

Veteran stayer Eaton continues to race well in stronger contests than this and looks capable of breaking through for a deserved win. While he is untried at the 3600m he gives every impression of running it out and 58.5Kg is a good weight for him in this class.

Recommended Price: $2.50
Confidence Level: 4/5


2. Sukoot
Pakenham R5 7:15pm

Sukoot is coming to the races first up but will certainly be fit off the back of six trials and jumpouts in the last five weeks. If this unusual preparation can bring back some of his old form, he is well over the odds against an even field.

Recommended Price: $15/4.00
Confidence Level: 3/5


1. Victory Bay
Pakenham R6 7:45pm

The market says this is a two horse race between Passive Aggressive and Victory Bay and while I think that’s right, I think that Victory Bay is the clear value here however. There was a lot to like about his form over summer and Peter Moody has an excellent strike rate with runners first up.

Recommended Price: $3.00
Confidence Level: 3.5/5

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Tim is a wagering industry veteran, having spent more than a decade at Sportsbet, BetEasy, TAB and William Hill working in trading and content.