Racing Tips – Thursday Best Bets for Kilmore and Pakenham

There are two race meetings in Victoria on Thursday, the first at Kilmore during the day before Pakenham in the evening. Expecting soft ground at both.

Best Bet

2. Miss Moonshine
Kilmore R6 (4:00pm)

The last time Miss Moonshine got to a mile race third up on a wet track she responded with a six length victory. Her form this time in has only been fair, but she gets her right conditions here and strikes a vastly weaker race. From barrier one, expect the apprentice to take her straight to the front and take all the catching.

Recommended Price: $2.80
Confidence Level: 4.5/5


More Racing Tips

11. Shebrings Beauty
Kilmore R1 (1:30pm)

Shebrings Beauty was a certainty beaten on debut at Bairnsdale with a severe check around the home turn being the difference between winning and losing. The Matthew Smith trained filly should only be better for that experience and she strikes a harder, but nevertheless winnable race here.

Recommended Price: $3.60
Confidence Level: 3/5


8. Leica Model
Kilmore R3 (2:30pm)

Leica Model can cause an upset here. The Darci Brahma filly ran second to the talented Explosive Thinker at Sale last start, and the extra trip on a heavy track holds no fears for her. Think she might run out the mile here a touch stronger than the odds-on favourite, Moko.

Recommended Price: $4.00
Confidence Level: 3.5/5


5. Marxist
Pakenham R5 (7:45pm)

Marxist struggled when stepping up in class to contest the Group 2 Sandown Guineas at the end of last prep but prior to that the filly had shown ample ability, not least with a ten length win at this track the start prior. Previous placings behind La Derriere and Magic Time read well also. She can be very competitive here first up.

Recommended Price: $5.00
Confidence Level: 3.5/5


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Tim is a wagering industry veteran, having spent more than a decade at Sportsbet, BetEasy, TAB and William Hill working in trading and content.