Round 25 kicks off at the famed Leichhardt Oval with the Wests Tigers desperately trying to avoid a third-straight wooden spoon as Manly look to lock down a finals berth.
Best Bet
Expect plenty of points when Round 25 opens up at a packed Leichhardt.
These two teams have a long history of over games with 18 of the last 26 going over the number. Three of the last five have hit 58 or more points.
This is a huge over spot with the over hitting at north of 72% when there is a home underdog of 12 or more from Rounds 21-27.
That fits well with Manly, who are a huge over team.
The over is 37-22 when Manly are off scoring 20 or more and 36-25 when the Sea Eagles are away from Brookvale.
It is also 17-10 when Manly are road favourites and 24-12 when they play teams outside the Top 8.
This looks like an absolute points fiesta so bet up the over and take plenty of alternate lines up.
Insights
Wests Tigers Off a Win 🐯: Wests Tigers games tend to be low-scoring after a win, with 7 out of their last 9 games going under the total points line. This suggests that they focus more on defense following a victory. 🛡️
Manly Against Bottom 4 Teams 📊: Manly is particularly strong against lower-ranked teams, with 13+ point wins in 13 out of their last 20 games against bottom 4 teams. They consistently dominate these matchups, indicating their ability to capitalize on weaker opponents. 🚀
Manly vs. Wests Tigers Head-to-Head 🤝: Manly has a strong record against Wests Tigers, with 5 out of the last 6 wins being by 13+ points. 💪
Same Game Multi
Tom Trbojevic has 53 tries in 52 games across the last four seasons.
Jason Saab has three tries in his last two against the Tigers.
Lehi Hopoate is flying in his debut season with five tries in his four games on the wing.
Value Bet
Stefano Utoikamanu has emerged as one of the best props in the game and he is used often close to the tryline. He only has three tries but his expected return is higher than that. He looks a very nice bet to cross against a fairly average Sea Eagles middle.
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