Melbourne host Cronulla in their fourth finals meeting in 16 years and the Sharks look well and truly over the odds against a team that the market looks to be overrating a touch.
Best Bet
The Sharks have not got a lot of respect all season and so it is again this week when Cronulla travel to Melbourne to meet minor premiers the Storm.
There is no disputing the Storm have set the benchmark this season but they have been unconvincing at times and there are a few factors that should cause some concern. They have just eight wins of 12 or more and their record in one-score games is 7-3.
The Sharks went down to Melbourne and won 25-18 in Round 10 without either Nicho Hynes or Braydon Trindall. It was their second win in the last three.
Cronulla have covered 8 of 10 interstate and have covered 5 of 6 against Top 4 opposition. They are 5-2 ATS getting a start of eight or more.
With the Storm covering just 3 of 10 at AAMI and just 2 of 8 off a win of 30-plus, Cronulla are the play. They can cover. And they can win.
Insights
🚀 Sydney Roosters Away: Sydney Roosters games have gone over the total in 8 of their last 10 away games. 🌧️
🔥 Sydney Roosters Off Loss: After a loss, Sydney Roosters have covered the spread in 7 of their last 9 games. 💪
🏟️ Sydney Roosters at ANZ Stadium: Sydney Roosters have struggled at ANZ Stadium, with only 3 wins in their last 9 games. ⚔️
Same Game Multi
Briton Nikora is in career best tryscoring with eight tries in his last 11 matches including a double last week.
Jahrome Hughes is airborne with four tries in his last two matches.
Value Bet
Braydon Trindall has been an elite tryscorer for the Sharks this year. He has 10 tries across the season including eight in his last 12. He backs up well, he chases kicks well and he runs well. That is a great recipe for tryscoring success.
Follow Betseeker for weekly expert NRL tips and predictions for the 2024 NRL season.
