Penrith showed their class last week by overcoming injuries to annihilate St George Illawarra but Newcastle can keep this close if they come to play.
Best Bet
Penrith have started their quest for four straight titles with Nathan Cleary returning with aplomb, kicking the winning field goal against the Dolphins before scoring a hat-trick last week against the Dragons.
The Panthers have plenty of injuries though and that does give some pause about laying a big number. They are down their first two choice fullbacks while James Fisher-Harris remains short of full health.
Adam O’Brien has again made a moronic decision, putting Phoenix Crossland at halfback. The line has moved four points in Penrith’s favour as a result.
This number does just look too big though. The Knights have covered 14 of 17 day games and seven of nine off a loss.
The Panthers have covered just four of 11 as a double digit home favourite.
Tough game but lean the plus.
Insights
🏟️ Newcastle Away: In the last 9 away games, Newcastle has achieved 7 covers. 🚀
🌊 Penrith Off Win: In the last 9 games off a win, Penrith has achieved only 2 covers. 📉
📈 🌟 Newcastle Against Top 8 Teams: In the last 8 games against top 8 teams, 7 total over results have been achieved. 🔝
Same Game Multi
Brian To’o is in hot form with five tries in his last four games.
Greg Marzhew has 28 tries in 35 games since joining Newcastle.
Value Bet
Penrith’s weakness defensively is on their right edge so there is plenty of value about the left side Knights attack. Dylan Lucas is filling in for Bradman Best and he can find his way to the line. Lucas has five tries in 15 starts this year.
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