NRL Tips – Newcastle v Parramatta – Round 17 2024

Best Bet

Newcastle -1.5

Line

$1.93

It is mighty surprising that Newcastle are not more heavily favoured on home soil against the last-placed Knights.

Parramatta will likely have Mitchell Moses backing up from Origin and Clint Gutherson has been named, the two key ins for the Eels, but they look up against it.

Coach Trent Barrett is an obscenely bad 13-48 in his last 61 games as a head coach. The Eels have covered just one of their last 11 road games and just two of 12 at night.

Newcastle have not been a super-reliable proposition this year but they have won eight of their last nine against bottom four opposition and they have covered eight of 13 at home.

Teams off playing Penrith well tend to back it up too. Those off scoring 18 against the Panthers the last four seasons are 18-5 ATS in their following game.

Newcastle can be bet right down to laying a converted try.

Insights

📉 Away Games: Parramatta struggles to cover the line away from home, with only 1 cover in the last 7 games. However, they participate in high-scoring affairs with 26 of the last 30 games going over the total points line.

💪 After a Loss: The Knights have a solid bounce-back ability, covering the line in 7 of their last 9 games after a loss.

🔝 Against Bottom Teams: The Knights perform well against lower-ranked teams, winning 8 of their last 9 games against bottom-4 teams, with many of these games being low-scoring.