Parramatta were humiliated by Brisbane last week and have lost Mitchell Moses for six weeks but are one of the bets of the week when they host the Sydney Roosters.
Best Bet
There is no better bet in the NRL than getting around a team off an abject humiliation.
Teams off conceding at least 50 have the obscene cover rate of 71%. When those teams are at home, that number rises to 78%. Teams off conceding at least 54 points are a remarkable 20-4 against the spread the following week.
The Eels also get back some key troops this week with Reagan Campbell-Gillard and Maika Sivo back in action, mitigating the absence of Mitchell Moses somewhat.
While the Roosters have found some form of late, they have hardly been a reliable betting proposition and certainly don’t shape as such big trend busters.
The Chooks have covered just five of 13 as a favourite this year and just five of their last 16 as a favourite away from the SCG and Allianz.
Parramatta have won two of the last three against the Roosters at CommBank and look primed to cause the upset here.
Same Game Multi
Maika Sivo has an irrepressible record at CommBank and has scored five tries in six games against the Roosters.
Clint Gutherson has scored in his last two against the Roosters.
Value Bet
J’maine Hopgood has turned into a sneak good tryscoring option. The tackling machine has four tries in his last 12 games. The Roosters are not particularly strong through the middle. Great value roughie.
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