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The total for this one is set at 30 points, the lowest over/under on an NFL game since 1993. Don’t expect fireworks.
Best Bet
The 2023 Patriots are setting new records for offensive ineptitude but nevertheless they look an attractive bet with six points against the Steelers.
Despite their offensive issues, the Patriots defence has been playing at an extremely high level of late having conceded 10, 10 and 6 points in the last three weeks.
With Mitch Trubisky starting at quarterback in place of the injured Kenny Pickett, the Patriots will fancy their chances of containing the Steelers offence.
Obviously their offensive woes go without saying, but there are a number of solid angles here for the Patriots.
Teams off scoring zero points are a very healthy 34-21-2 against the number the next week.
Thursday home teams coming off a loss (the Steelers in this case) are 18-33-1 against the number.
Hold your nose and take the Patriots.
Same Game Multi
The Steelers preferred to run the ball even with Kenny Pickett, that won’t change with Mitch Trubisky under centre. New England have kept better quarterbacks to fewer yards this season.
Warren has come on nicely down the stretch for the Steelers and has exceeded this line in four of his last five games.
Value Bet
Something of a throw at the stumps here but there is some evidence to back it up. New England have failed to reach double figures five times this season. They held the Chargers to just six last week. Another super low scoring battle is far from an outlandish scenario here.