The Celtics return to Boston in an attempt to close the series and win the Championship – who should they be concerned with though?
Dallas Mavericks @ Boston Celtics (10:30am)
Best Bet
Low line for Lively who has come to life this series, in conjunction with Porzingis being out for the Celtics.
Lively averages 11 points and 12.5 rebounds in the last two games of this series, with his most recent performance of 11 points and 12 rebounds coming in just 22 minutes due to Dallas blowing the Celtics out.
Definitely don’t expect Dallas to do that again in Boston in Game 5, but I do expect bulk minutes for Lively against Horford.
Value Bet
I do expect Boston to take out Game 5, but I still think PJ Washington can have an impact for the Mavericks.
In the two road losses, Washington scored 14 points in Game 1 followed by 17 in Game 2. Although he only managed 6 points in Game 4, Washington played just 13 minutes in the blow-out win, so he was still going at 15 points per 36 minutes.
Expect Washington’s minutes to return to that level of 38-40 minutes when Dallas return to Boston for Game 5, where he’s a big chance of scoring 15 again.
SGM – Boston / Washington Over 11.5 Points / Lively 8+ Rebounds = $3.75
