It’s been an inconsistent start to Wemby’s season so far, but his last two games have gone large and he faces a poor Wizards outfit in this.
Best Bet
LA Clippers @ Houston Rockets (12:10pm)
I think he’s back in the coach’s good books after his insane last quarter and OT benching against the Warriors.
This is a great match-up for Sengun though against another conventional centre in Zubac. Coming off 27-point performances in his last two games, Sengun enters this full of confidence against the Clippers that concede points to centres 27% above average this season.
Although he averages just 17.8 points per game this season due to an inconsistency of minutes, Sengun has scored 20+ in three of his last five and shouldn’t have too many troubles against Zubac in this.
SGM – Rockets / Sengun 20+ Points / Powell 20+ Points = $4.00
Next Best
Indiana Pacers @ Orlando Magic (11:10am)
It’s a big points line for Myles. When he’s covered 18.5 points this season he’s done it in style with 26 last game against New York and 30 against the Mavericks four games back.
But he’s only covered 18.5 in those two games from his last eight, and the Orlando match-up is tricky.
The Magic are the second most difficult team for centres to score against this season, 21% below average. Being such a great defensive outfit, I think Indiana’s points will likely come elsewhere in this one.
SGM – Magic +1.5 / Turner Under 18.5 Points / Mathurin 15+ Points = $4.00
Value Bet
Washington Wizards @ San Antonio Spurs (12:10pm)
This Washington team is a disaster and with Kuzma back it means the Wizards will probably go smaller with Sarr playing full-time centre minutes.
Wemby has had an inconsistent start to the season, but his last two games have been really promising. The French sensation had 16 rebounds against the Jazz two starts back, and then followed it up with 14 against the Kings last game.
Centres are rebounding 20% above average against Washington this season – the easiest team for bigs to rebound against, and while Wemby is back in good rebounding form he should look to capitise.
SGM – Coulibaly 10+ Points / Champagnie 10+ Points / Wemby 12+ Rebounds = $3.30
Thursday NBA Multi
Rockets / Cavs / Bulls +8.5
$3.40
