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Coming off consecutive losses for the first time since February, expect the Grizzlies to make a statement heading into the playoffs.
Best Bet
Kings @ Clippers(11:30am)
Over 225.5 Total Points ($1.90)
The total points line appears quite low for a Sacramento Kings game, with the total points going overs in 8 of their last 10.
They’re up against the Clippers who haven’t been great themselves on the defensive end of late, conceding 117.1 points per game from the last 10 – ranked 23rd in the NBA. The Kings are ranked 26th in this area over the same timeframe, conceding 119.7 points.
Although the Clippers have gone overs in 6 of their last 10 games, they have the biggest overs differential in the NBA over the last 10 at +14. This game should go over 230.
Same Game Multi
Clippers H2H
Over 225.5 Total Points
$2.20
Next Best
Warriors @ Spurs (10:30am)
Spurs +7.5 ($1.86)
The Warriors travel to San Antonio to face the Spurs, but they’ll be without Klay Thompson who is coming off 33 points against the Lakers.
The Spurs have the best spread coverage rate in the NBA from the last 10 games at 80%, including covering in their last three home games.
As for Golden State, they’ve only covered the spread twice from their last six games on the road as favourites. Not sure whether they’ll be that desperate in this one opposed to the Spurs who have a group of players looking for minutes in the play-in tournament.
VALUE BET
Pelicans @ Grizzlies (8:00am)
Grizzlies 11+ ($2.90)
Here’s a list of New Orleans wins since March 13th – Portland, Sacramento, LA Lakers, Portland again, Lakers again, Chicago (who have been terrible recently), Atlanta, San Antonio and Houston. You could make a case for the Atlanta scalp, but there’s not much substance there.
The Pelicans face Memphis with Ja Morant a potential return, while Brandon Ingram is questionable again.
The Grizzlies have won the last two games against New Orleans quite convincingly – a 12-point victory in February, and more recently a 21-point win in March. Although they don’t need to get the win, they would like to get some condition into Morant if he plays so no reason why we won’t see an 11+ win for Memphis.
Same Game Multi
Grizzlies -5.5
Under 232.5 Total Points
$3.25
Sunday NBA Multi
Memphis -5.5 / Spurs +7.5 / Clippers H2H = $4.00