NBA Tips – Monday, April 28 NBA Picks & Multi

Derrick White is set to play 40+ minutes in Boston’s Game 4 in Orlando, with the Celtics looking to take a 3-1 series lead.

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Best Bet

Boston Celtics @ Orlando Magic (9:00am)

Derrick White
Over 14.5 Points

With Jrue Holiday out for Boston and Jaylen Brown questionable, Derrick White remains the one constant in this Celtics line-up.

This will once again be a tricky road game for Boston in Game 4, and it appears White’s minutes will be around the 40-mark when the games are tight like we saw in Game 3.

White averages 21 points per game this series and has hit 15+ points in all three games, with his shot volume quite consistent around that 14 mark per game. Even though this might be another low scoring contest, he should cover this in 40 minutes.

SGM: F Wagne Over 34.5 PRA / White 15+ Points / Celtics = $4.20


Next Best

LA Lakers @ Minnesota Timberwolves (5:30am)

Austin Reaves
Over 27.5 PRA

Austin Reaves has to play 42+ minutes in this Game 4 contest to keep the Lakers’ season alive – slightly dramatic, but it’s hard to see them coming back from 3-1 down to advance.

Reaves is coming off a strong showing in Game 3 finishing with 20 points, 7 rebounds and 4 assists off the back of a usage bump, and he’ll need to replicate this performance if LA is any chance.

When playing 40+ minutes across nine games this season including playoffs, Reaves averages a PRA of 36.4, covering this line in seven of those games. This should be an easy clear if Reaves can maintain that Game 3 usage.

SGM: McDaniels 10+ Points / Reaves Over 27.5 PRA / Reid Under 17.5 PR = $3.60


Value Bet

Indiana Pacers @ Milwaukee Bucks (11:30am)

Aaron Nesmith
15+ Points

He’s played very well against the Bucks this season including the playoffs, and if Aaron Nesmith can avoid foul trouble he could produce another strong game.

Nesmith had 30 points at Milwaukee in the regular season, and the last two games has backed it up with 16 points in Game 2 and 18 in Game 3 – the latter in just 27 minutes due to foul trouble and a late blowout.

The Pacers will be extremely disappointed with their second half after comfortably leading at the half, and I think Nesmith has a valuable part to play in Game 4.

SGM: Nesmith Over 12.5 Points / Porter Jr Over 15.5 PRA / Siakam 20+ Points = $5.00


Monday NBA Multi

Celtics / Timberwolves / Pistons = $3.95

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Few know the NBA like Dale, who has spent years backing winners for punters across a number of publications and podcasts. He also specialises in tennis and AFL.