The Swans will be looking to keep their finals hopes alive with a win over Gold Coast at the SCG on Saturday afternoon.
Best Bet
The Suns are not the team Sydney want to face as they chase an unlikely finals berth given their ordinary record against the expansion team.
Gold Coast have won four of their last seven against the Swans, the third best record they hold against any team since 2018. At the SCG they’ve won and covered in three of their last four games, including the biggest upset of the last decade in 2018 when the Suns were $17 outsiders.
Despite their inconsistent form, the Suns look a good match-up for the Bloods. John Longmire’s team have had a very clear issue winning the hard ball in 2023, sitting 17th for clearance differential and 14th for hitouts while Gold Coast are 5th and 1st for these measures. Miller, Anderson and Rowell could be in for a big afternoon.
Dane Rampe’s absence will also hurt against the three-pronged Suns tall forward line of Ben King, Jack Lukosius and Levi Casbault. In the eight games that Rampe has missed this year, Jeremy Cameron, Tom Hawkins, Jack Riewoldt, Brody Mihocek and Toby Greene have all kicked four or more goals.
It would be a surprise to see the Swans lose here given their impressive winning streak but the Suns look good bet to keep the margin within three goals.
Same Game Multi
As below, Ben King has a great record against the Swans so he should be good for a couple, while Isaac Heeney has found form after an ordinary first half of the year. He’s kicked 2+ in four of his last five.
Errol Gulden looks set for an All Australian berth. He’s had 30+ in four of his last five.
Value Bet
Ben King has a great record against the Swans, kicking 4+ goals in two of his last three. The other game was in Round 1 this year – his first game back from an ACL, where he had just five touches and looked in need of the run.
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