St Kilda vs Geelong - AFL Tips

AFL Tips – St Kilda v Geelong – Round 23 2023

With both sides in the thick of the finals race, Saturday night’s clash between the Cats and the Saints will be pivotal to deciding which team makes it into September.

Best Bet

Saints +5.5
Line

St Kilda can end Geelong’s dismal premiership defence on Saturday night.

The Cats continue to be overrated by the betting markets, but the numbers reveal how poor they are away from home.

Away from GMHBA Stadium, they have only won four of thirteen games this season. They have only covered the line in four of thirteen. Their last win away from home was on June 3.

The Saints on the other hand, appear to have steadied the ship. After a mid season slump, Ross Lyon’s men have now won three of their last four with their only loss at that time coming against the in-form Blues.

Don’t forget, the Saints are the second ranked team in the league for points against, behind Carlton and ahead of Collingwood and Melbourne.

There is no reason, other than reputation, for Geelong to be favourites for this game.


Same Game Multi

Saints +5.5, Sinclair, Crouch 25+, Wood, Ross 20+ Disposals

Jack Sinclair and Brad Crouch are super consistent ball winners for the Saints.

Mason Wood has had 25 or more in three of his last four, while Seb Ross returned last week in excellent form, winning 25 disposals in just 71% game time.


Value Bet

St Kilda 1-39
Margin

Not expecting this to be a blowout but a Saints upset is well and truly on the cards here.

Betseeker’s expert tipsters have you covered for the best AFL tips, predictions, same-game multis, and more, for each game of the 2023 AFL season.

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Tim is a wagering industry veteran, having spent more than a decade at Sportsbet, BetEasy, TAB and William Hill working in trading and content.