AFL Tips – Richmond v Carlton – Round 16 2024

The surging Blues get a chance for a percentage booster against their bitter rivals Richmond on Sunday afternoon at the MCG.

Best Bet

Carlton -41.5
Line

This could be very ugly.

The Blues haven’t played a bottom six team since Round 5 yet sit second on the ladder. They’ve won their last four games, the last three against top eight teams, by an average of 38.5 points.

Despite regaining some of their best players from injury, the Tigers continue to struggle, sitting 2-12 with a percentage of 64. They’ve failed to score 50 points in five of their last nine games.

It’s simply in another universe to where Carlton are at currently, averaging 110 points scored over the last four games.

Richmond have lost eight of their last nine games by an average of 49 points. Carlton are by far the best team they’ve played in this stretch and they should run out big winners.

Insights

TBC


Same Game Multi

Carlton -41.5, H.McKay 2+ Goals, M.Owies Anytime Goal, T.Taranto 25+ Disposals, D.Rioli 20+ Disposals

Daniel Rioli has recorded 20+ touches in eight straight while Tim Taranto has done the same in six straight and averages 27 against the Blues over his last five.

Harry McKay has scored nine goals in his last three against the Tigers. Matt Owies has scored six goals in five games and booted two in Round 2.


Value Bet

Under 50.5
Alternate Total Points

As mentioned, Richmond have failed to reach the half-century five times in their last nine games. With Tom Lynch out and against an in-form Carlton side, they may struggle to hit the mark again.

Betseeker’s expert tipsters have you covered for the best AFL tips, predictions, same-game multis, and more, for each game of the 2024 AFL season.

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Joel has worked for more than six years at Sportsbet and BetEasy in the content and tipping space, specialising in AFL, cricket, NBA and UFC.