AFL Tips – North Melbourne v Gold Coast – Round 17 2024

Kangaroos vs Suns - AFL Tips

North Melbourne host Gold Coast on Saturday at Marvel with the latter remarkably still searching for an away win in 2024.

Best Bet

North Melbourne +17.5
Line

Taking on Gold Coast away from home continues to deliver for punters.

The Suns have still not won on the road in 2024, and even more remarkably, not covered a single line either, losing by an average of 33 points away from the Gold Coast or Darwin.

A trip to Marvel doesn’t bode well either, with Damien Hardwick-coached teams 0-12 against the spread since the three-time premiership coach infamously declared he ‘hated coming to’ the stadium back in 2021.

The improving young Roos have now covered in four straight games off the back of a much-improved defensive effort. After conceding 100 points to every team through Round 11, North have only given up 74 points per game in their last four matches.

They will benefit greatly from Jarrod Witts’ absence, as young Ned Moyle will have to face the in-form Tristan Xerri, who is a key reason for North being ranked sixth for clearance differential in their last five games (the Suns are ranked last).

All signs point to another very competitive effort from the Kangas.

Insights

✈️ Gold Coast Suns Away: In the last 12 games away, Gold Coast Suns not covered the line once.

💪 Suns Dominance vs. North Melbourne: In the last 8 games against North Melbourne, Gold Coast Suns have achieved 6 wins by 40 plus points.

🏟️ North Melbourne Improving: In the last 4 games, North Melbourne have achieved 4 covers.


Same Game Multi

North Melbourne +17.5, S.Flanders 30+ Disposals, L.Davies-Uniacke 25+ Disposals, T.Xerri 15+ Disposals

Steering clear of Noah Anderson who is likely to get the Will Phillips tag.

Sam Flanders continues to rack them up across half-back, with 30+ in five straight. LDU has had 25+ in four of his last five overall and four of his last five against the Suns.

As mentioned, Tristan Xerri could dominate this one and has had 15+ in six straight.


Value Bet

North Melbourne 1-24
Margin

North smacked the Suns by 68 points in Round 24 last year in the game that cost them the number one draft pick and although the Suns were dominant winners back in Round 9, this is a much-improved Roos outfit.

They easily could be entering this match having won three of their last four too, given how close the losses against Collingwood and Melbourne were.

With the Suns completely forgetting how to football on the road, the upset is absolutely on the cards here.

Betseeker’s expert tipsters have you covered for the best AFL tips, predictions, same-game multis, and more, for each game of the 2024 AFL season.

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Joel has worked for more than six years at Sportsbet and BetEasy in the content and tipping space, specialising in AFL, cricket, NBA and UFC.