AFL Tips – Gold Coast v Collingwood – Round 16 2024

Gold Coast vs Collingwood - AFL Tips

The Suns host the Pies in front of a sold out – and no doubt passionately pro Pies – crowd at Carrara on Saturday afternoon.

Best Bet

Collingwood -2.5
Line

Collingwood limped to the bye but they should be primed to knock off the Suns with some key personnel returning.

Scott Pendlebury, Oleg Markov and Brody Mihocek are welcome reinforcements for a Pies side that barely squeaked home against the Roos before the bye.

Much will be made of the Suns unbeaten record at home this season, but those wins came against Richmond, Adelaide, Hawthorn (early season version), West Coast and Essendon.

The Pies represent a vastly different challenge, especially off a bye (which has proven to be an enormous advantage this season) with the Suns on a six day turnaround from a trip to Perth.

Collingwood have covered seven of their last nine against the Suns and are more than capable of doing so again.

Insights

🤝 Head-to-Head: Collingwood has covered the line in 7 of the last 9 games against the Gold Coast Suns.

⚔️ Against Bottom 8 Teams: Collingwood dominates against lower-ranked teams, winning their last 9 games. Impressively, they have also won by 40+ points in 5 of those games.

🚀 Collingwood on the Road: Collingwood has been successful away from home, winning 2 out of their last 3 away games.


Same Game Multi

Collingwood -1.5, Flanders, Daicos 30+, Anderson 25+ Disposals

Like the Pies to win this but the Suns have some of the most consistent ball winners in the comp. Sam Flanders has had 33 or more in his last four while Noah Anderson has had 25 or more in nine of fourteen.

Nick Daicos should be at peak fitness post bye and looks primed for another big haul here.


Value Bet

Collingwood 40+
Margins

Gold Coast got smashed by the Pies in this matchup last year and with a rest advantage a comfortable Pies win would not surprise.

Betseeker’s expert tipsters have you covered for the best AFL tips, predictions, same-game multis, and more, for each game of the 2024 AFL season.

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Tim is a wagering industry veteran, having spent more than a decade at Sportsbet, BetEasy, TAB and William Hill working in trading and content.