The Bombers have won five straight against the Crows and should continue that streak on Sunday at Marvel Stadium.
Best Bet
Inferior versions of the Bombers have had good success against Adelaide and that should continue here.
They come off an excellent performance against the other South Australian side where only an after the siren goal stopped the breaking Port’s 12 game winning streak.
Like the Bombers, the Crows have been one of the big improvers in 2023 but there is still a big question mark next to their form away from the Adelaide Oval.
The Crows are 7-2 at their home ground this season, but a very poor 1-5 away from there. Their betting results are similar, being 8-1 against the line at home, and 2-4 away.
That’s a concern against an Essendon side that are 3-0 at Docklands and 2-1 against the line at home.
As mentioned above, the Bombers also match up well against the Crows, having won the last five games.
The x-factor for the Crows are their tall forwards, who match up well against their undersized Essendon opponents. It will be critical for the Dons to put pressure on up the ground and slow down Adelaide’s ball movement.
Essendon are the second best side this season for pressure rating differential, and if they maintain that they should be able to win this game and cover the small line.
Same Game Multi
Tex Walker has multiple snags in ten of his last eleven. Brandon Zerk-Thatcher is in for a long afternoon.
Kyle Langford has a goal in his last eight games.
Mitch Hinge had a career best game last week for Adelaide with 26 touches including 12 intercepts.
Dyson Heppell has had 20 or more in his last seven games.
Jordan Dawson has been a revelation in the middle for Adelaide this season with 25 or more in all but three games.
Value Bet
Big Tex kicked four against Essendon at this venue last year and is in even better form this year, with three bags of five or more in his last six matches.
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