AFL Tips – Adelaide v GWS Giants – Round 16 2024

Adelaide vs GWS | AFL Tips

The Giants will be looking to secure their position in the top eight against the struggling Crows at the Adelaide Oval on Saturday night.

Best Bet

GWS Giants -2.5
Line

The Giants really enjoy this match-up, winning and covering in the last four games against the Crows. The average margin has been 50 points.

Adam Kingsley’s team have struggled after winning their opening five games of the year, going 3-6 since, but they have faced a tough draw. They’ve lost to the Swans (twice), second-placed Carlton, third-placed Essendon plus the Dogs and Hawks, who can both look as good as any team not named Sydney on their day.

Adelaide are simply nowhere near that standard. They are currently 15th with a 4-9-1 record and have been particularly disappointing at home, holding a 2-6 record at Adelaide Oval.

With the away team covering the line in 19 of the last 22 at Adelaide Oval, the Giants are the pick here.

Insights

🔥 GWS Giants off a Loss: The Giants bounce back strongly after a loss, securing 7 wins and 7 covers in their last 9 games following a loss.

🏠 Adelaide Crows at Home: The Crows have struggled at home, achieving only 2 wins and 2 covers in their last 9 home games.

🔄 Head-to-Head Dominance: GWS Giants have dominated recent encounters against the Crows. They’ve won the last 4 games and 6 of the last 8, covering the line in all 4 of the most recent matches.


Same Game Multi

GWS Giants -2.5, T.Green 30+ Disposals, L.Whitfield 25+ Disposals, T.Greene 2+ Goals

Tom Green has rediscovered his best form in the last two weeks, racking up a combined 65 disposals. Lachie Whitfield has had 25+ in 18 of his last 20.

Toby Greene hasn’t been in great goal-kicking form but he loves this match-up. He’s scored 11 goals in his last three against the Crows.


Value Bet

GWS 40+
Margin

The Giants dealt out 39+ point defeats to North, West Coast and a struggling Brisbane earlier in the year. This is the easiest opponent they’ve faced in some time and with the Crows lacking a forward good enough to capitalise on Sam Taylor’s absence, the orange team could really blow this one out.

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Joel has worked for more than six years at Sportsbet and BetEasy in the content and tipping space, specialising in AFL, cricket, NBA and UFC.