The second edition of the Brisbane derby takes place at the Gabba with the Broncos heavily favoured but the Dolphins not without a chance.
Best Bet
When these teams met earlier in the season, Brisbane escaped later with an 18-12 win to knock off their upstart new rivals in a game that turned into a brutal defensive struggle.
Things project to be a lot looser this time around.
The Dolphins have, defensively, been a mess the last fortnight with scores conceded of 48 and 58.
This is a huge over spot for them too. The over is 6-1 when the Dolphins are off a loss, 5-0 when they are off conceding 30-plus and 3-1 when they are a double digit underdog.
Brisbane have lost three starters and look a much less ominous threat, particularly through the middle. The over is 19-10 when Brisbane are off conceding 18 or fewer.
Expecting a shootout at the Gabba.
Same Game Multi
Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow has 14 tries in 13 games this year including back-to-back doubles in very heavy losses.
Selwyn Cobbo has 26 tries in his last 32 games across the last two seasons.
Herbie Farnworth has 18 tries in his last 28 games.
Value Bet
Valynce Te Whare has been outstanding since forcing his way into the Dolphins 17 and he has been particularly impressive when getting a start in his preferred centre position. He scored a double in Round 10 against the Sharks and a try last week in their heavy loss to the Eels – three tries in his only two starts at centre.
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