NFL Tips – Atlanta Falcons @ Carolina Panthers – Week 10 2022

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These teams met just ten days ago but conditions will be very different with wind and rain expected at Bank of America Stadium for Thursday Night Football.

Best Bet

Falcons -3
Line

Atlanta was lucky to beat Carolina at home last Sunday week but they can learn from that and have an easier time this week.

PJ Walker, starting in place of Baker Mayfield, threw for a career high 307 yards but was benched against the Bengals last Sunday for Mayfield again.

The Carolina coaching staff clearly has little confidence in either option under centre, and the prospect of strong winds and rain means that the Panthers are unlikely to find success in the passing game.

This game will largely come down to who can run the ball more effectively, and the edge here lies with the Falcons.

Atlanta have run for the third most yards in the league this season, and the threat of quarterback Marcus Mariota in the running game will cause Panthers head coach Steve Wilks headaches.

The Panthers were gashed by the Bengals last Sunday, conceding 241 yards to Joe Mixon, Sammy Perine and company.

Carolina has of course traded star running back Christian McCaffrey to the 49ers, and D’onta Foreman is a battering ram, but unlikely to generate explosive plays.

The Falcons are a terrific 6-3 against the number this year, while the Panthers are 3-6. Expect them to get the job done again.


Same Game Multi

Cordarrelle Patterson TD/Falcons -3

Cordarrelle Patterson has been terrific since moving position to running back for the Falcons, and he has rushed for five touchdowns in five games this season.


Value Bet

Falcons -9.5
Alternate Line

The Panthers have lost by ten or more in four of the last six weeks. It’s easy to see this one getting away from them again, especially given how turnover prone they are on offence.

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Tim is a wagering industry veteran, having spent more than a decade at Sportsbet, BetEasy, TAB and William Hill working in trading and content.